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Organic Statistics

by: Jill Richardson

Tue Jun 09, 2009 at 08:00:00 AM PDT


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The USDA recently released a report on emerging issues in the U.S. organic industry. A major finding was that demand for organics is outpacing supply. Two-thirds of Americans purchase organics at least occasionally and 28% at least weekly. In the past, you may have had to go to a natural foods store to find organics, but now you can find them at Wal-Mart. Organic sales QUINTUPLED since 1997, growing from $3.6 billion to $21.1 billion in 2008. In 2008, organics were equal to 3% of U.S. food sales.

Organic sales may have quintupled, but between 1997 and 2005, organic acreage in the U.S. only doubled. Just to give you an idea of how American agriculture is keeping up with that demand, consider these stats from the 2007 Census of Agriculture:

Organic Farms: 18,211
Total Farms; 2,204,792

Organic Farm Sales: $1,709,111,000
Value of All Agricultural Products Sold: $297,220,491,000

Organic Cropland: 1,288,088 acres
Organic Pastureland: 975,380 acres
Land under Organic Conversion: 616,358 acres
Total cropland in America: 309,607,601 acres

(While obviously a very small percent of land is organic, the numbers differ from food to food... 5% of vegetable acres are organic, as are 2.5% of fruit and nut acreage, 0.5% of pasture, and 0.2% of corn and soybeans.)

So it's no wonder why 44% of organic handlers reported a shortage of organic ingredients or products in 2004... we're just not producing enough! To solve the supply problem, we're getting more and more organics from overseas. As the report notes, the USDA is working to fix the supply program by providing incentives for farmers to convert more land to organic. You may remember the recent announcement of $50 million in conservation grant funding (under the EQIP program) for farmers converting to organic production... that's part of what they are doing to increase our organic production.

Another nice detail is that government spending on organics has gone up five-fold between 2002 and 2008. See below for more numbers and facts about organics...

Jill Richardson :: Organic Statistics
Which States Have the Most Organics
(Measured in # of certified organic farms as of 2007)
1. California: 3515
2. Wisconsin: 1443
3. Washington: 1207
4. New York: 1137
5. Oregon: 933
6. Pennsylvania: 775
7. Minnesota: 718
8. Ohio: 687
9. Tennessee: 660
10. Michigan: 632

(Measured in organic sales as of 2007)
1. California: $656,821,000
2. Washington: $158,970,000
3. Oregon: $88,379,000
4. Wisconsin: $79,902,000
5. Pennsylvania: $58,293,000
6. New York: $54,164,000
7. Texas: $51,741,000
8. Colorado: $50,590,000
9. Arizona: $48,363,000
10. Idaho: $48,102,000

Interestingly, a chart compared organic adoption of a number of different fruits and vegetables, and there's a pretty big disparity from crop to crop. In 2005, nearly 6% of carrots were organic (by acreage), compared with about 3.5% of apples, 2.5% of grapes, 2% of nuts, 2% of tomatoes, % of citrus, and 0.5% of potatoes. (All numbers here are estimates from viewing a graph.)

Another chart shows organic adoption for grains, noting that adoption is highest for grains with "food uses." Topping the list were flax and then dry peas/lentils, each with about 3% of acres as organic. The rest of the grains listed are about 1% organic or less. They are (in order from most to least): oats, barley, rice, peanuts, hay, rye, wheat, sunflowers, soybeans, corn, cotton.

Shortages in Organics
How about the shortages mentioned before? Keep in mind that the numbers in this particular area are from 2004 (before we had a major dairy crisis on our hands, including a crisis for organic dairies):

Percent of handlers reporting a critical shortage
Milk: 26%
Feed grains: 22%
Fruit/veg: $16%
Soy: 13%

Organics from Foreign Countries
Want to know where the most organics come from (outside of the U.S.)? Ranked by number of organic farmers/handlers certified in a country, from most to least they are:
1. Canada
2. Italy
3. Turkey
4. China
5. Mexico

Together these 5 countries constitute half of total foreign organic farmers/handlers in 2007. The USDA lacks accurate data on organic imports, but they estimate that between $1.0-$1.5 billion in organics were imported to the U.S. in 2002 (a number that has gone up "substantially" since then). Our reliance on foreign countries is not only a result of U.S. farmers' slowness to adopt organic practices and to achieve certification. The report notes that organic farming practices can be labor intensive and foreign countries often have cheaper labor than the U.S.

Dairy: Some Good News
As of 2005, 63% of organic dairies reported allowing cows to graze on pasture (yay!) compared to only 18% of conventional dairies. (Also, while organic dairies are not allowed to use rbGH, 17% of conventional operations use rbGH.) As a result, the average organic cow produced 13,600 lbs of milk in 2005, compared to 19,000 lbs per conventional cow.

Soy: Why Don't We Grow It Organically?
Interestingly, the report notes that it's more profitable to grow organic soy (compared to conventional) but other factors keep our farmers from switching over. They cite: the 3-year transition period prior to organic certification, fewer organic marketing outlets, the need for onfarm storage, a lack of third party contractors for organic pest and nutrient management, heavy managerial requirements, fear of criticism from neighbors, unknown risks, lack of government infrastructure support, and subsidies for ethanol that increase conventional grain supplies. So some of these guys won't go organic because they don't want the neighbors to think they are hippies? Nice.

Bang For Your Buck
Another interesting point is that the price premium for organics differ from crop to crop. The following numbers are all estimates from looking at a graph in the report:

Organic price premium as a percent of conventional price, 2005
Spinach: 78%
Lettuce: 68%
Watermelon: 62%
Potato: 60%
Cabbage: 55%
Yam: 50%
Mango: 50%
Strawberry: 40%
Grapefruit: 40%
Apple: 38%
Banana: 38%
Squash: 35%
Mushroom: 33%
Pepper: 32%
Asparagus: 27%
Lemon/lime: 25%
Peach: 25%
Green bean: 25%
Broccoli: 25%
Nectarine: 22%
Grape: 20%
Cherry: 20%
Orange: 20%
Pear: 20%
Plum: 20%
Cauliflower: 15%
Cucumber: 15%
Onion: 14%
Tomato: 14%
Raspberry: 12%
Cantaloupe: 10%
Radish: 10%
Celery: 10%
Corn: 8%
Avocado: 8%
Carrot: 5%

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What about the formerly certified farms (4.00 / 5)
I wonder how many organic acres there are when you factor in all of us farmers who used to be certified organic and still farm that way but are farmers non grata to the USDA NOP.

I am thinking double the acres. Of course the certified organic farms cannot use our products because they do not have the USDA NOP seal of approval


I was just thinking that (4.00 / 2)
I know a farm near me isn't organic, but uses less pesticides than most farms and is decreasing the amount of pesticides they do use.

And then there are farms that just can't afford the certification, or feel it's not worth it for some reason.

Vote for yourself at www.ni4d.us!


[ Parent ]
Most if not all of my farmers are uncert (4.00 / 3)
I don't remember on the beans, but everything else, isn't. The orchard does everything they can to avoid spraying, but apparently that's hard in the Hudson Valley and irrc correctly they tell us. Heh I don't even remember last summer aside from the fact it was fruit from heaven. The other farmers I think just don't feel the need. They all have organic/sustainable practices and go above and beyond. My produce farmer has been expanding yearly and could still expand more via demand. The protein farmer also expanded this year.  The bean folks just started at the Greenmarket this year and our egg farmers sell there and the market in my park. We have a lot of outlets for those "off the organic radar" farmers here.

Boulder Belt, that's prob another reason farms don't cert. They can't use the local "organic" product (thinking grass and grains for feed here). Many of the ones I know who need feed get it from neighboring "organic" farms along with growing some of their own.


[ Parent ]
I use all the organic practices I can find (4.00 / 3)
but I won't certify as organic for several reasons.

1- The cost of certification, not just the transition period, but then you have to pay someone to certify you. This decreases the proffitability of my farm. By being transparent I can have my customers tell me if they are comfortable with the way I farm.

2- For my goats, emus and chickens, organic feed is either too expensive or I have a hard time locating it if I can locate it. I used to buy oat hay that was in transition to organic. Once it was certified the price went up, but more importantly, the farmer already had organic dairies that needed that hay way more than I did, and I absolutely love feeding oat hay. The stuff is in short supply, growing oat hay is tricky and timeing will make you or break you on harvest, it's not forgiving of a week or two delay in harvest like grass or even alfalfa.

3- I want to have the option of using a non-organic approved pesticide or herbicide if I really need it. We use Roundup here to spot control specific weeds like Tansey Ragwort, in the pastures. Sometimes those harsh chemicals are the best and most expedient measures, and I don't have a problem with them as long as they are used judiciously.

So, there are some of my reasons for not going for the USDA stamp of approval as far as organics go.

I also looked into humane certification. I ain't goin' there either. Once again, my customers can certify me. Right now the farm is open to the public by appointment, and on Sundays if people want to pick up their orders. People come out here and I give 'em the cook's tour if they want. They can see how I care for the animals themselves.

That having been said, I can see the advantage of 3rd party certification if a person is selling to stores, distributors, etc.

Normal people scare me. But not as much as I scare them.....


[ Parent ]
Yay Washington! We're #2!! (4.00 / 3)
In some ways this is a really good place to be for organics. spud! (the organic delivery service I use) does their best to provide local produce. When you go to their website to order, each item lists where it was grown. That way you can pick items that were produced closer to you. They encourage this through their "local hero" program, where they average the distances the items you're ordering traveled to get to their warehouse and if your average beats the company-wide average for items (something like 750 miles) they enter you into a drawing for a prize. It makes me aware of the distance my produce travels, although I don't know how much it affects what I order except in the broadest sense (e.g. if the garlic they're offering this week is from Argentina, I think I'll wait until they find closer garlic).

In general the produce they carry seems to come mostly from Washington and California, although some warm-weather and tropical fruits and vegetables come from Mexico (mostly bananas, tomatoes and mangoes). The fact that they have to go out-of-country for some of their supply makes me wish there was a more reliable supply here closer to home. It seems like there should be a source for organic tomatoes around here somewhere, even if there probably aren't many mangoes and bananas (if any) grown in the continental US.

I have succumbed to the Twitter craze. @Omir55


There are bananas grown in the US (4.00 / 3)
I've seen them growing at the botanical gardens in St. Louis... they got cashews in there too! :)

[ Parent ]
Y'uh huh. But are they organic? (4.00 / 3)
:)

Don't they grow bananas in Hawai'i? Even if they do, and even if they're organic, I suspect they'd travel about twice as far as the ones from Mexico .

I have succumbed to the Twitter craze. @Omir55


[ Parent ]
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